Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 23, 375–390, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-23-375-2016
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 23, 375–390, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-23-375-2016

Research article 01 Nov 2016

Research article | 01 Nov 2016

Compound extremes in a changing climate – a Markov chain approach

Katrin Sedlmeier et al.

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Cited articles

Byun, H.-R. and Wilhite, D. A.: Objective quantification of drought severity and duration, J. Climate, 12, 2747–2756, 1999.
Christensen, J. H. and Christensen, O. B.: A summary of the PRUDENCE model projections of changes in European climate by the end of this century, Climatic Change, 81, 7–30, 2007.
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Doms, G. and Schättler, U.: A description of the nonhydrostatic regional model LM, Part I: dynamics and numerics, Consortium for small-scale modelling, Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach, Germany, Tech. rep., 140 pp., 2002.
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Compound extreme events (e.g., simultaneous occurrence of hot and dry days) are likely to have a big impact on society. In our paper, we propose a new method to analyze the temporal succession of compound extreme events, an aspect that has been largely neglected so far. We analyze past and future changes and identify regions within Europe, which are probably susceptible to a future change in the succession of heavy precipitation and cold days in winter and hot and dry days in summer.