Research article
04 Nov 2025
Bottom–up approach for mitigating extreme events with limited intervention options: a case study with Lorenz 96 model
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 457–469, 2025
03 Nov 2025
Boosting Ensembles for Statistics of Tails at Conditionally Optimal Advance Split Times
External preprint server, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
30 Oct 2025
On transversality and the characterization of finite time hyperbolic subspaces in chaotic attractors
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
27 Oct 2025
Beyond Static Forecasts: A Dynamic Stress Gradient Framework for High-Resolution Aftershock Prediction and Mitigation
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
24 Oct 2025
Exploring the influence of spatio-temporal scale differences in coupled data assimilation
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 439–456, 2025
20 Oct 2025
Quantifying variability in Lagrangian particle dispersal in ocean ensemble simulations: an information theory approach
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 411–438, 2025
20 Oct 2025
Improving dynamical climate predictions with machine learning: insights from a twin experiment framework
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 397–409, 2025
20 Oct 2025
Assessing AMOC stability using a Bayesian nested time-dependent autoregressive model
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 383–395, 2025
06 Oct 2025
The stochastic skeleton model for the Madden–Julian Oscillation with time-dependent observation-based forcing
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 367–382, 2025
02 Oct 2025
Bayesian data selection to quantify the value of data for landslide runout calibration
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 1 comment)
26 Sep 2025
Structural joint modeling of magnetotelluric data and Rayleigh wave dispersion curves using Pareto-based particle swarm optimization: An example to delineate the crustal structure of the southeastern part of the Biga Peninsula in western Anatolia
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
24 Sep 2025
Long-window tandem variational data assimilation methods for chaotic climate models tested with the Lorenz 63 system
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 353–365, 2025
15 Sep 2025
Inferring the role of IPO phase dependencies and extratropical internal variability on the tropics
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 2 comments)
15 Sep 2025
Targeted Adaptive Chaos Control of Regimes and Eddy Strength in Two Lorenz Models
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 8 comments)
11 Sep 2025
Simulation and data assimilation in an idealized coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice floe model with cloud effects
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 329–351, 2025
10 Sep 2025
Exploring complexity measures for analysis of solar wind structures and streams
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 309–327, 2025
08 Sep 2025
Ensemble-based model predictive control using data assimilation techniques
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 293–307, 2025
15 Aug 2025
Evaluation of the effectiveness of an intervention strategy in a control simulation experiment through comparison with model predictive control
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 281–292, 2025
14 Aug 2025
Dynamic Mode Decomposition of Extreme Events
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
13 Aug 2025
Spatiotemporal variation in rainfall predictability in Serbia under a changing climate
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
04 Aug 2025
Exploring urban heat islands with a simple thermodynamic model
EGUsphere, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
28 Jul 2025
A Theory of Earthquake Prediction
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
25 Jul 2025
On the hydrostatic approximation in rotating stratified flow
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 261–280, 2025
23 Jul 2025
Intermittency in fluid and magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) turbulence analyzed through the prism of moment scaling predictions of multifractal models
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 243–259, 2025
14 Jul 2025
Ionospheric chaos in the solar quiet current due to sudden stratospheric warming events across the European and African sectors
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 225–242, 2025
02 Jul 2025
MESMER-RCM: A Probabilistic Climate Emulator for Regional Warming Projections
EGUsphere, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
01 Jul 2025
Explaining the high skill of reservoir computing methods in El Niño prediction
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 201–224, 2025
27 Jun 2025
Rate-induced transitions and noise-driven resilience in vegetation pattern dynamics
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 189–200, 2025
27 Jun 2025
Fractal Attractor of the Deep Convection Cycle in the Northwest Mediterranean Sea
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
25 Jun 2025
Impact of reduced non-Gaussianity on analysis and forecast accuracy by assimilating every-30-second radar observation with ensemble Kalman filter: idealized experiments of deep convection
EGUsphere, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
24 Jun 2025
Localization in the mapping particle filter
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
23 Jun 2025
Multilevel Monte Carlo methods for ensemble variational data assimilation
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 167–187, 2025
26 May 2025
Finite-size local dimension as a tool for extracting geometrical properties of attractors of dynamical systems
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 139–165, 2025
15 May 2025
Dynamic–statistic combined ensemble prediction and impact factors of China's summer precipitation
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 117–130, 2025