Research article
08 Jan 2026
Contrasting different noise models for representing westerly wind bursts in a recharge oscillator model of ENSO
External preprint server, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
06 Jan 2026
Exploring urban heat islands with a simple thermodynamic model
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 17–32, 2026
05 Jan 2026
Impact of reduced non-Gaussianity on analysis and forecast accuracy by assimilating every-30 s radar observation with ensemble Kalman filter: idealized experiments of deep convection
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 1–16, 2026
02 Jan 2026
Physically Segmented Plasma Parameterization of Titan’s Ionosphere for Nonlinear Wave Dynamics
EGUsphere, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
30 Dec 2025
Towards a parametric Kalman filter for operational wildfire plume assimilation: Formulation of the forecast step
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
27 Dec 2025
The advantages of data assimilation in parametric space rather than classic grid space
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 0 comments)
18 Dec 2025
Quantitative Comparison of Causal Inference Methods for Climate Tipping Points
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 1 comment)
05 Dec 2025
Nonlinear wavefield characteristics of seismic translation and rotation in small-strain deformation from moment tensor simulations
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 489–501, 2025
24 Nov 2025
On process-oriented conditional targeted covariance inflation (TCI) for 3D-volume radar data assimilation
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 471–488, 2025
21 Nov 2025
A tempered fractional Hawkes framework for finite-memory drought dynamics
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 1 comment)
12 Nov 2025
Quantifying the minimum ensemble size for asymptotic accuracy of the ensemble Kalman filter using the degrees of instability
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
04 Nov 2025
Bottom–up approach for mitigating extreme events with limited intervention options: a case study with Lorenz 96 model
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 457–469, 2025
03 Nov 2025
Boosting Ensembles for Statistics of Tails at Conditionally Optimal Advance Split Times
External preprint server, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 2 comments)
30 Oct 2025
On transversality and the characterization of finite time hyperbolic subspaces in chaotic attractors
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
27 Oct 2025
Beyond Static Forecasts: A Dynamic Stress Gradient Framework for High-Resolution Aftershock Prediction and Mitigation
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
24 Oct 2025
Exploring the influence of spatio-temporal scale differences in coupled data assimilation
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 439–456, 2025
20 Oct 2025
Quantifying variability in Lagrangian particle dispersal in ocean ensemble simulations: an information theory approach
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 411–438, 2025
20 Oct 2025
Improving dynamical climate predictions with machine learning: insights from a twin experiment framework
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 397–409, 2025
20 Oct 2025
Assessing AMOC stability using a Bayesian nested time-dependent autoregressive model
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 383–395, 2025
06 Oct 2025
The stochastic skeleton model for the Madden–Julian Oscillation with time-dependent observation-based forcing
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 367–382, 2025
02 Oct 2025
Bayesian data selection to quantify the value of data for landslide runout calibration
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 4 comments)
26 Sep 2025
Structural joint modeling of magnetotelluric data and Rayleigh wave dispersion curves using Pareto-based particle swarm optimization: An example to delineate the crustal structure of the southeastern part of the Biga Peninsula in western Anatolia
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 1 comment)
24 Sep 2025
Long-window tandem variational data assimilation methods for chaotic climate models tested with the Lorenz 63 system
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 353–365, 2025
15 Sep 2025
Inferring the role of IPO phase dependencies and extratropical internal variability on the tropics
EGUsphere, 2025
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 2 comments)
11 Sep 2025
Simulation and data assimilation in an idealized coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice floe model with cloud effects
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 329–351, 2025
10 Sep 2025
Exploring complexity measures for analysis of solar wind structures and streams
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 309–327, 2025
08 Sep 2025
Ensemble-based model predictive control using data assimilation techniques
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 293–307, 2025
15 Aug 2025
Evaluation of the effectiveness of an intervention strategy in a control simulation experiment through comparison with model predictive control
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 281–292, 2025
14 Aug 2025
Dynamic Mode Decomposition of Extreme Events
EGUsphere, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
13 Aug 2025
Spatiotemporal variation in rainfall predictability in Serbia under a changing climate
EGUsphere, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
28 Jul 2025
A Theory of Earthquake Prediction
EGUsphere, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
25 Jul 2025
On the hydrostatic approximation in rotating stratified flow
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 261–280, 2025
23 Jul 2025
Intermittency in fluid and magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) turbulence analyzed through the prism of moment scaling predictions of multifractal models
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 243–259, 2025