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17 Aug 2026
A fractional von Kármán tornado model: anomalous vertical transport with a cascade-fixed order, and an advection-controlled far-field law
Farrukh A. Chishtie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4368,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4368, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 13 comments)
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08 May 2026
Multi-dimensional, Multi-Constraint Seismic Inversion of Acoustic Impedance Using Fuzzy Clustering Concepts
Saber Jahanjooy, Hosein Hashemi, and Majid Bagheri
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1391,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1391, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 12 comments)
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27 Aug 2026
Covariations between persistent synoptic features and record low Antarctic sea ice events via unsupervised regression learning
Andrew R. Axelsen, Terence J. O'Kane, Courtney R. Quinn, and Andrew P. Bassom
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 455–472, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-455-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-455-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (8 comments)
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21 Jul 2026
A Hierarchical Fractional N-body Framework for Coulomb Stress Evolution in Fault Networks: Exact Analytical Solutions and Falsifiable Seismicity Scaling Laws
Farrukh A. Chishtie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3498,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3498, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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08 Jun 2026
Nonlinear quantitative relationship between the duration and occurrence frequency of droughts
Pengcheng Yan, Guolin Feng, Cailing Zhao, Ping Yang, Hao Wu, and Dongdong Zuo
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 303–312, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-303-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-303-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (8 comments)
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22 May 2026
Stationary Solutions and Oscillatory Dynamics in a Mathematical Model of a Saturated Moist Atmosphere
Dalila Remaoun Bourega
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2648,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2648, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 8 comments)
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28 Oct 2025
A deterministic cascade model to infer intermittency stochastics of Navier-Stokes
Xin Li, Daniel Schertzer, Yelva Roustan, and Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4895,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4895, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for NPG (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
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20 Oct 2025
Assessing AMOC stability using a Bayesian nested time-dependent autoregressive model
Luc Hallali, Eirik Myrvoll-Nilsen, and Christian L. E. Franzke
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 383–395, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-383-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-383-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (7 comments)
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02 Oct 2026
Conditional updates of neural network weights for increased out of training performance
Jan Saynisch-Wagner and Saran Rajendran Sari
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 503–520, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-503-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-503-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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04 Sep 2026
Ensemble Kalman-guided model predictive path integral control for spatially localized suppression of extremes in chaotic geophysical flows
Haru Kuroki, Kazumune Hashimoto, Yuki Uehara, Yohei Sawada, Duc Le, and Masashi Minamide
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 473–487, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-473-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-473-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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25 Aug 2026
Bayesian data selection to quantify the value of data for landslide runout calibration
V. Mithlesh Kumar, Anil Yildiz, and Julia Kowalski
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 425–453, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-425-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-425-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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20 Jul 2026
The fractional Rothermel model: Mittag-Leffler kinetics of wildfire front propagation from a stochastic hierarchical parcel cascade, with application to heading fire collapse
Farrukh Chishtie
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3823,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3823, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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23 Jun 2026
Encoding-dependent verdicts and H_1 miscalibration in ensemble persistent homology of cyclone trajectories
Rongzhen Dai
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2975,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2975, 2026
Revised manuscript accepted for NPG (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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19 Jun 2026
Quantitative comparison of causal inference methods for climate tipping points
Niki Lohmann, David Strahl, Annika Högner, Willem Huiskamp, Matthias Boehm, and Nico Wunderling
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 313–334, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-313-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-313-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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15 Jun 2026
Spectral Neutrality of Climate Reductions: An Operator Perspective
Gerrit Lohmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3085,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3085, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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02 Jun 2026
Structural joint modeling of magnetotelluric data and Rayleigh wave dispersion curves using Pareto-based particle swarm optimization: an example to delineate the crustal structure of the southeastern part of the Biga Peninsula in western Anatolia
Ersin Büyük, Ekrem Zor, and Mustafa Cengiz Tapırdamaz
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 267–302, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-267-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-267-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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20 Apr 2026
Bayesian inference based on algorithms: MH, HMC, MALA and Lip-MALA for prestack seismic inversion
Richard Perez-Roa, Saba Infante, Gabriel Barragan, and Raul Manzanilla
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 173–195, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-173-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-173-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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19 Mar 2026
Beyond static forecasts: a dynamic stress gradient framework for high-resolution aftershock prediction and mitigation
Boi-Yee Liao
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 123–155, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-123-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-123-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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13 Feb 2026
Nonlinear resonance in the wave–shoreline system: mechanisms and global expression
Marius Aparicio, Julien Boucharel, Laurent Lacaze, and Rafael Almar
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-541,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-541, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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12 Feb 2026
MESMER-RCM: a probabilistic climate emulator for regional warming projections
Hao Pan, Lukas Gudmundsson, Mathias Hauser, Jonas Schwaab, Yann Quilcaille, and Sonia I. Seneviratne
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 73–83, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-73-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-73-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (6 comments)
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21 Apr 2026
Sandy beaches' chaos: shoreline-sandbar coupling inferred from observational time series
Marius Aparicio, Sylvain Mangiarotti, Salomé Frugier, Laurent Lacaze, Marcan Graffin, and Rafael Almar
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 197–231, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-197-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-197-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (5 comments)
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18 Mar 2026
Sensitivity of dynamical systems instantaneous dimension and its insights on sea surface temperature anomaly field over the tropical Pacific
Ming Shi, Huang Yu, Zuntao Fu, Hao Xue, Xiaolong Qiu, Xintong Hao, Xiaohan Zhang, Haiyang Yu, and Weiqi Xing
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1376,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1376, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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05 Jan 2026
Impact of reduced non-Gaussianity on analysis and forecast accuracy by assimilating every-30 s radar observation with ensemble Kalman filter: idealized experiments of deep convection
Arata Amemiya and Takemasa Miyoshi
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-1-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-1-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (5 comments)
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24 Nov 2025
On process-oriented conditional targeted covariance inflation (TCI) for 3D-volume radar data assimilation
Klaus Vobig, Roland Potthast, and Klaus Stephan
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 471–488, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-471-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-471-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (5 comments)
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21 Sep 2026
Data assimilation of coherent structures in parametric and gridded spaces: an idealized ocean eddy study
Solène Dealbera, Stéphane Raynaud, Carlos Granero Belinchon, Brahim Boussidi, Clément Le Goff, and Pierre Tandeo
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 489–501, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-489-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-489-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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31 Aug 2026
Climate Modus Operandi
Anastasios A. Tsonis and Geli Wang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4087,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4087, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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11 Aug 2026
Elucidating the performance of data assimilation neural networks for chaotic dynamics
Marc Bocquet, Tobias Sebastian Finn, Sibo Cheng, and Alban Farchi
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 401–424, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-401-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-401-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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24 Jul 2026
Delayed State Evolution in Rate-and-State Earthquake Nucleation: Amplification, Localization, and Scaling
Srđan Kostić and Nebojša Vasović
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4365,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-4365, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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14 Jul 2026
Formulation of parametric uncertainty forecasts towards operational wildfire smoke assimilation
Annika Vogel, Richard Ménard, James Abu, and Jack Chen
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 347–371, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-347-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-347-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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06 Jul 2026
Noise-scaled accuracy of the ensemble Kalman filter with an instability-based minimum ensemble size
Kota Takeda and Takemasa Miyoshi
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 335–346, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-335-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-335-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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01 Jul 2026
Stochastic Collection Equation: Invariant Evolution of the Cloud Droplet–Size Distribution
Jun-Ichi Yano, Marta Waclawczyk, and Maarten Ambaum
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3530,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3530, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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30 Jun 2026
Emergence of chaos in the tropical atmosphere: Study of the weak temperature gradient system
Stéphane Vannitsem and Jonathan Demaeyer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3631,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3631, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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26 Jun 2026
Review article: The future of the physics-based NWP methodology: a critical review on applications of catastrophe theory to the atmospheric science
Chongjian Liu, Jinfang Yin, Xiaomin Wei, Xiaogong Sun, and Guofu Zhu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2981,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-2981, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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19 Jun 2026
Earthquake Scaling Equations Under Small Strain, Steady Moment Release-Rate Conditions in Southern Andes from 2015 to 2017
Patricio A. Toledo, Cristián Siegel, Benoit Derode, Raúl Madariaga, and Jaime Campos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3399,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-3399, 2026
Preprint under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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02 Jun 2026
A Continuous-Time Ensemble Kalman–Bucy Smoother for Causal Inference and Model Discovery
Zhang Jiang, Marios Andreou, Sebastian Reich, and Nan Chen
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.25157,https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2604.25157, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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28 May 2026
Boosting ensembles for statistics of tails at conditionally optimal advance split times
Justin Finkel and Paul A. O'Gorman
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 233–265, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-233-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-233-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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10 Apr 2026
Predicting the distance of the AMOC to its tipping point using CNNs
Francesco Guardamagna, Sacha Sinet, and Henk A. Dijkstra
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1872,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-1872, 2026
Revised manuscript under review for NPG (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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24 Mar 2026
Spatiotemporal variation in rainfall predictability in Serbia under a changing climate
Tatijana Stosic, Ivana Tošić, Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva, Vladimir Djurdjević, and Borko Stosic
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 157–172, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-157-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-157-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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04 Mar 2026
Inferring the role of Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase on tropical-extratropical teleconnection dependencies
Mark A. Collier, Dylan Harries, and Terence J. O'Kane
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 103–122, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-103-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-103-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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12 Feb 2026
Dynamic mode decomposition of extreme events
Maša Ann, Jörn Behrens, and Jana Sillmann
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 85–102, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-85-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-85-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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11 Feb 2026
On transversality and the characterization of finite time hyperbolic subspaces in chaotic attractors
Terence J. O'Kane and Courtney R. Quinn
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 51–72, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-51-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-51-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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26 Jan 2026
Localization in the mapping particle filter
Juan M. Guerrieri, Manuel Pulido, Takemasa Miyoshi, Arata Amemiya, and Juan J. Ruiz
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 33–49, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-33-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-33-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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06 Jan 2026
Exploring urban heat islands with a simple thermodynamic model
Mijeong Jeon, Kyeongjoo Park, Woosok Moon, Jae-Jin Kim, and Jong-Jin Baik
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 33, 17–32, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-17-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-17-2026, 2026
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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05 Dec 2025
Nonlinear wavefield characteristics of seismic translation and rotation in small-strain deformation from moment tensor simulations
Wei Li, Yun Wang, Chang Chen, and Lixia Sun
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 489–501, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-489-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-489-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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04 Nov 2025
Bottom–up approach for mitigating extreme events with limited intervention options: a case study with Lorenz 96 model
Takahito Mitsui, Shunji Kotsuki, Naoya Fujiwara, Atsushi Okazaki, and Keita Tokuda
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 457–469, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-457-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-457-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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24 Oct 2025
Exploring the influence of spatio-temporal scale differences in coupled data assimilation
Lilian Garcia-Oliva, Alberto Carrassi, and François Counillon
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 439–456, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-439-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-439-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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20 Oct 2025
Improving dynamical climate predictions with machine learning: insights from a twin experiment framework
Zikang He, Julien Brajard, Yiguo Wang, Xidong Wang, and Zheqi Shen
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 397–409, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-397-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-397-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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20 Oct 2025
Quantifying variability in Lagrangian particle dispersal in ocean ensemble simulations: an information theory approach
Claudio M. Pierard, Siren Rühs, Laura Gómez-Navarro, Michael Charles Denes, Florian Meirer, Thierry Penduff, and Erik van Sebille
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 32, 411–438, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-411-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-411-2025, 2025
Final revised paper published in NPG (4 comments)
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