Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-23-375-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-23-375-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Compound extremes in a changing climate – a Markov chain approach
Katrin Sedlmeier
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
now at: Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich, Switzerland
Sebastian Mieruch
Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
now at: Alfred-Wegener-Institut, Helmholtz-Zentrum für Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany
Gerd Schädler
Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
Christoph Kottmeier
Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Karlsruhe, Germany
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Cited
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Winter Weather Whiplash: Impacts of Meteorological Events Misaligned With Natural and Human Systems in Seasonally Snow‐Covered Regions N. Casson et al. 10.1029/2019EF001224
- Abrupt Climate and Weather Changes Across Time Scales G. Lohmann et al. 10.1029/2019PA003782
- Compound Extremes in Hydroclimatology: A Review Z. Hao et al. 10.3390/w10060718
- A novel generalized combinative procedure for Multi-Scalar standardized drought Indices-The long average weighted joint aggregative criterion Z. Ali et al. 10.1080/16000870.2020.1736248
- Identification of droughts and heatwaves in Germany with regional climate networks G. Schädler & M. Breil 10.5194/npg-28-231-2021
- Drought- and heatwave-associated compound extremes: A review of hotspots, variables, parameters, drivers, impacts, and analysis frameworks M. Afroz et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.914437
- Estimating Concurrent Probabilities of Compound Extremes: An Analysis of Temperature and Rainfall Events in the Limpopo Lowveld Region of South Africa C. Sigauke & T. Ravele 10.3390/atmos15050557
- Tree Species Site Suitability as a Combination of Occurrence Probability and Growth and Derivation of Priority Regions for Climate Change Adaptation U. Märkel & K. Dolos 10.3390/f8060181
- Compound extreme events in Yarlung Zangbo River Basin from 1977 to 2018 Z. Xu & R. Zhang 10.1016/j.wse.2022.08.002
- Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi‐Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview M. de Brito et al. 10.1029/2023EF003906
- Compound Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drivers, Mechanisms and Methods W. Zhang et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.673495
- Understanding changes in heat waves, droughts, and compound events in Yangtze River Valley and the corresponding atmospheric circulation patterns Z. Qian et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06927-z
- Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon R. Guntu & A. Agarwal 10.1038/s41598-021-95775-0
- Research progresses and prospects of multi-sphere compound extremes from the Earth System perspective Z. Hao & Y. Chen 10.1007/s11430-023-1201-y
- Compound Events under Global Warming: A Dependence Perspective Z. Hao & V. Singh 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001991
- Analysis of Compound Climate Extremes and Exposed Population in Africa Under Two Different Emission Scenarios T. Weber et al. 10.1029/2019EF001473
- Concurrent Changes in Extreme Hydroclimate Events in the Colorado River Basin K. Bennett et al. 10.3390/w13070978
- Linking different drought types in a small catchment from a statistical perspective – Case study of the Wernersbach catchment, Germany I. Vorobevskii et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2022.100122
- Trend analysis of hydro-climate variables in the Jemma sub-basin of Upper Blue Nile (Abbay) Basin, Ethiopia T. Lebeza et al. 10.1007/s42452-023-05345-4
19 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Winter Weather Whiplash: Impacts of Meteorological Events Misaligned With Natural and Human Systems in Seasonally Snow‐Covered Regions N. Casson et al. 10.1029/2019EF001224
- Abrupt Climate and Weather Changes Across Time Scales G. Lohmann et al. 10.1029/2019PA003782
- Compound Extremes in Hydroclimatology: A Review Z. Hao et al. 10.3390/w10060718
- A novel generalized combinative procedure for Multi-Scalar standardized drought Indices-The long average weighted joint aggregative criterion Z. Ali et al. 10.1080/16000870.2020.1736248
- Identification of droughts and heatwaves in Germany with regional climate networks G. Schädler & M. Breil 10.5194/npg-28-231-2021
- Drought- and heatwave-associated compound extremes: A review of hotspots, variables, parameters, drivers, impacts, and analysis frameworks M. Afroz et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.914437
- Estimating Concurrent Probabilities of Compound Extremes: An Analysis of Temperature and Rainfall Events in the Limpopo Lowveld Region of South Africa C. Sigauke & T. Ravele 10.3390/atmos15050557
- Tree Species Site Suitability as a Combination of Occurrence Probability and Growth and Derivation of Priority Regions for Climate Change Adaptation U. Märkel & K. Dolos 10.3390/f8060181
- Compound extreme events in Yarlung Zangbo River Basin from 1977 to 2018 Z. Xu & R. Zhang 10.1016/j.wse.2022.08.002
- Uncovering the Dynamics of Multi‐Sector Impacts of Hydrological Extremes: A Methods Overview M. de Brito et al. 10.1029/2023EF003906
- Compound Hydrometeorological Extremes: Drivers, Mechanisms and Methods W. Zhang et al. 10.3389/feart.2021.673495
- Understanding changes in heat waves, droughts, and compound events in Yangtze River Valley and the corresponding atmospheric circulation patterns Z. Qian et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06927-z
- Disentangling increasing compound extremes at regional scale during Indian summer monsoon R. Guntu & A. Agarwal 10.1038/s41598-021-95775-0
- Research progresses and prospects of multi-sphere compound extremes from the Earth System perspective Z. Hao & Y. Chen 10.1007/s11430-023-1201-y
- Compound Events under Global Warming: A Dependence Perspective Z. Hao & V. Singh 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001991
- Analysis of Compound Climate Extremes and Exposed Population in Africa Under Two Different Emission Scenarios T. Weber et al. 10.1029/2019EF001473
- Concurrent Changes in Extreme Hydroclimate Events in the Colorado River Basin K. Bennett et al. 10.3390/w13070978
- Linking different drought types in a small catchment from a statistical perspective – Case study of the Wernersbach catchment, Germany I. Vorobevskii et al. 10.1016/j.hydroa.2022.100122
- Trend analysis of hydro-climate variables in the Jemma sub-basin of Upper Blue Nile (Abbay) Basin, Ethiopia T. Lebeza et al. 10.1007/s42452-023-05345-4
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
Compound extreme events (e.g., simultaneous occurrence of hot and dry days) are likely to have a big impact on society. In our paper, we propose a new method to analyze the temporal succession of compound extreme events, an aspect that has been largely neglected so far. We analyze past and future changes and identify regions within Europe, which are probably susceptible to a future change in the succession of heavy precipitation and cold days in winter and hot and dry days in summer.
Compound extreme events (e.g., simultaneous occurrence of hot and dry days) are likely to have a...