Articles | Volume 27, issue 4
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 27, 489–500, 2020
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 27, 489–500, 2020

Research article 28 Oct 2020

Research article | 28 Oct 2020

A method for predicting the uncompleted climate transition process

Pengcheng Yan et al.

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Subject: Predictability, probabilistic forecasts, data assimilation, inverse problems | Topic: Climate, atmosphere, ocean, hydrology, cryosphere, biosphere | Techniques: Theory
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Cited articles

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Short summary
A system transiting from one stable state to another has to experience a period. Can we predict the end moment (state) if the process has not been completed? This paper presents a method to solve this problem. This method is based on the quantitative relationship among the parameters, which is used to describe the transition process of the abrupt change. By using the historical data, we extract some parameters for predicting the uncompleted climate transition process.