Articles | Volume 31, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-319-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-319-2024
Research article
 | 
10 Jul 2024
Research article |  | 10 Jul 2024

Leading the Lorenz 63 system toward the prescribed regime by model predictive control coupled with data assimilation

Fumitoshi Kawasaki and Shunji Kotsuki

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Subject: Predictability, probabilistic forecasts, data assimilation, inverse problems | Topic: Climate, atmosphere, ocean, hydrology, cryosphere, biosphere | Techniques: Simulation
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Cited articles

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Henderson, J. M., Hoffman, R. N., Leidner, S. M., Nehrkorn, T., and Grassotti, C.: A 4D-Var study on the potential of weather control and exigent weather forecasting, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 131, 3037–3051, https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.05.72, 2005. 
Inoue, D. and Yoshida, H.: Model Predictive Control for Finite Input Systems using the D-Wave Quantum Annealer, Sci. Rep.-UK, 10, 1591, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-58081-9, 2020. 
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Recently, scientists have been looking into ways to control the weather to lead to a desirable direction for mitigating weather-induced disasters caused by torrential rainfall and typhoons. This study proposes using the model predictive control (MPC), an advanced control method, to control a chaotic system. Through numerical experiments using a low-dimensional chaotic system, we demonstrate that the system can be successfully controlled with shorter forecasts compared to previous studies.