Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
NPG
Articles | Volume 30, issue 3
Articles | Volume 30, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-299-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-299-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 3
Research article
 | 
21 Jul 2023
Research article |  | 21 Jul 2023

An approach for projecting the timing of abrupt winter Arctic sea ice loss

Camille Hankel and Eli Tziperman

Related authors

Contrasting different noise models for representing westerly wind bursts in a recharge oscillator model of ENSO
Georg A. Gottwald, Eli Tziperman, and Alexey Fedorov
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2512.22710,https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2512.22710, 2026
This preprint is open for discussion and under review for Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (NPG).
Short summary
Investigating the surface mass balance of the Laurentide Ice Sheet during the last deglaciation
Kirstin Koepnick, Minmin Fu, and Eli Tziperman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1998,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1998, 2024
Preprint archived
Short summary

Cited articles

Abbot, D. S. and Tziperman, E.: Sea ice, high-latitude convection, and equable climates, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L03702, https://doi.org/10.1029/2007GL032286, 2008. a, b
Abbot, D. S., Walker, C., and Tziperman, E.: Can a convective cloud feedback help to eliminate winter sea ice at high CO2 concentrations?, J. Climate, 22, 5719–5731, https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2854.1, 2009. a
An, S.-I., Kim, H.-J., and Kim, S.-K.: Rate-Dependent Hysteresis of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation System and Its Asymmetric Loop, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2020GL090132, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090132, 2021. a, b, c, d, e
Armour, K., Eisenman, I., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., McCusker, K., and Bitz, C.: The reversibility of sea ice loss in a state-of-the-art climate model, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L16705, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011GL048739, 2011. a
Baer, S. M., Erneux, T., and Rinzel, J.: The slow passage through a Hopf bifurcation: delay, memory effects, and resonance, SIAM J. Appl. Math., 49, 55–71, 1989. a, b
More articles (47)
Download
Short summary
We present a novel, efficient method for identifying climate tipping point threshold values of CO2 beyond which rapid and irreversible changes occur. We use a simple model of Arctic sea ice to demonstrate the method’s efficacy and its potential for use in state-of-the-art global climate models that are too expensive to run for this purpose using current methods. The ability to detect tipping points will improve our preparedness for rapid changes that may occur under future climate change.
Read more
Share