Articles | Volume 32, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-281-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-281-2025
Research article
 | 
15 Aug 2025
Research article |  | 15 Aug 2025

Evaluation of the effectiveness of an intervention strategy in a control simulation experiment through comparison with model predictive control

Rikuto Nagai, Yang Bai, Masaki Ogura, Shunji Kotsuki, and Naoki Wakamiya

Model code and software

ogura-lab/NPG_CSE-MPC: NPG (NPG) rikuto https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.16834640

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Short summary
Controlling chaotic systems is a key step toward weather control. The control simulation experiment (CSE) modifies weather systems using small perturbations, as shown in studies with the Lorenz-63 model. However, the effectiveness of CSE compared to other methods is unclear. This study evaluates CSE against model predictive control (MPC). Simulations reveal that MPC achieves higher success rates with less effort under certain conditions, linking control theory and atmospheric science.
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