Articles | Volume 33, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-157-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Spatiotemporal variation in rainfall predictability in Serbia under a changing climate
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- Final revised paper (published on 24 Mar 2026)
- Preprint (discussion started on 13 Aug 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3766', Suzana M Blesic, 28 Sep 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva, 04 Dec 2025
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3766', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Oct 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva, 04 Dec 2025
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva on behalf of the Authors (04 Dec 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 Dec 2025) by Naiming Yuan
RR by Suzana M Blesic (16 Dec 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (24 Dec 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (05 Jan 2026) by Naiming Yuan
AR by Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva on behalf of the Authors (08 Jan 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Jan 2026) by Naiming Yuan
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (01 Mar 2026)
ED: Publish as is (02 Mar 2026) by Naiming Yuan
AR by Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva on behalf of the Authors (10 Mar 2026)
I find this manuscript and its findings both interesting and valuable for advancing our understanding of the complexity and predictability of rainfall records, particularly in light of the current uncertainty surrounding general rainfall predictions. The methods used for data analysis are appropriate and reproducible, and I especially commend the application of the relatively new entropy-based calculation method. Overall, I recommend this manuscript for publication in EGUsphere.
My questions and comments are as follows:
The use of two climatic time periods for separate analyses is clear. However, I am also interested in whether analyzing the entire available period (1961–2020) would reveal visible changes in the GWPE plots (e.g., crossovers) that might indicate shifts in predictability between the two climatic periods. Could you provide results or insights for the whole period?
The GWPE values are presented with three significant digits. Does this imply that the error of calculation lies in the third digit? More generally, is there a way to estimate or quantify the error associated with this method?
In Figures 3, 8, and 9, would it be possible to display the differences on a color scale distinct from those used for rainfall amount or GWPEC in the two periods? Similarly, in Tables 2 and 3, could you add columns showing the differences in values between the two periods?
For q>0, GWPE values all appear higher than 0.5, except for Sremska Mitrovica during the 1991–2020 period. This suggests a possible pattern—has a similar behavior been observed in other types of real-world data?
Thank you for your responses and for the valuable contribution to this special issue.