Articles | Volume 33, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-157-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-157-2026
Research article
 | 
24 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 24 Mar 2026

Spatiotemporal variation in rainfall predictability in Serbia under a changing climate

Tatijana Stosic, Ivana Tošić, Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva, Vladimir Djurdjević, and Borko Stosic

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3766', Suzana M Blesic, 28 Sep 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-3766', Anonymous Referee #2, 10 Oct 2025

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva on behalf of the Authors (04 Dec 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (04 Dec 2025) by Naiming Yuan
RR by Suzana M Blesic (16 Dec 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (24 Dec 2025)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (05 Jan 2026) by Naiming Yuan
AR by Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva on behalf of the Authors (08 Jan 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (09 Jan 2026) by Naiming Yuan
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (01 Mar 2026)
ED: Publish as is (02 Mar 2026) by Naiming Yuan
AR by Antonio Samuel Alves da Silva on behalf of the Authors (10 Mar 2026)
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Short summary
In this work we address the change in rainfall predictability in Serbia due to climate change, using a novel entropy-based method that highlights both small and large fluctuations. The study is performed on data from 14 stations from 1961–2020. While rainfall average remains rather stable between two subperiods, the predictability of large and small fluctuations has changed, suggesting that climate change has affected rainfall dynamics in ways not observable by standard statistical methods.
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