Articles | Volume 32, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-293-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-32-293-2025
Research article
 | 
08 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 08 Sep 2025

Ensemble-based model predictive control using data assimilation techniques

Kenta Kurosawa, Atsushi Okazaki, Fumitoshi Kawasaki, and Shunji Kotsuki

Related authors

Model Predictive Control with Foreseeing Horizon Designed to Mitigate Extreme Events in Chaotic Dynamical Systems
Fumitoshi Kawasaki, Atsushi Okazaki, Kenta Kurosawa, Tadashi Tsuyuki, and Shunji Kotsuki
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1785,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1785, 2025
Short summary

Cited articles

Babu, M., Theerthala, R. R., Singh, A. K., Baladhurgesh, B., Gopalakrishnan, B., Krishna, K. M., and Medasani, S.: Model Predictive Control for Autonomous Driving considering Actuator Dynamics, in: 2019 American Control Conference (ACC), 10–12 July 2019, Philadelphia, PA, USA , 1983–1989, https://doi.org/10.23919/ACC.2019.8814940, 2019. a
Bannister, R. N.: A review of operational methods of variational and ensemble-variational data assimilation, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 143, 607–633, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2982, 2017. a
Bishop, C. H., Etherton, B. J., and Majumdar, S. J.: Adaptive Sampling with the Ensemble Transform Kalman Filter. Part I: Theoretical Aspects, Mon. Weather Rev., 129, 420–436, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(2001)129<0420:ASWTET>2.0.CO;2, 2001. a
Buehner, M.: Ensemble-derived stationary and flow-dependent background-error covariances: Evaluation in a quasi-operational NWP setting, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 131, 1013–1043, https://doi.org/10.1256/qj.04.15, 2005. a
Chopin, N. and Papaspiliopoulos, O.: Particle Smoothing, Springer International Publishing, Cham, 189–227, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-47845-2_12, 2020. a
Download
Short summary
We propose ensemble-based model predictive control (EnMPC), a novel method that improves the control of complex systems like the atmosphere by integrating control theory with data assimilation. Unlike traditional methods, which are computationally expensive, EnMPC uses ensemble simulations to efficiently handle uncertainties and optimize solutions. This approach reduces computational cost while maintaining accuracy, making it a promising step toward real-world applications in dynamic system control.
Share