Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
NPG
Articles | Volume 30, issue 4
Articles | Volume 30, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-571-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-571-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 30, issue 4
Research article
 | 
08 Dec 2023
Research article |  | 08 Dec 2023

Uncertainties, complexities and possible forecasting of Volcán de Colima energy emissions (Mexico, years 2013–2015) based on a fractal reconstruction theorem

Marisol Monterrubio-Velasco, Xavier Lana, and Raúl Arámbula-Mendoza

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Short summary

Effusive–explosive volcanic energy emissions are a complex and dynamic physical phenomenon. The complexity of this process for the Volcán de Colima along the years 2013–2015 is analysed by means of the reconstruction theorem being determined by the persistence, complexity and “loss of memory” of the physical mechanism. The results suggest that appropriate forecasting algorithms could be applied to determine forthcoming high-energy emissions.

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