Articles | Volume 28, issue 3
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 28, 467–480, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-467-2021
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 28, 467–480, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-28-467-2021

Research article 16 Sep 2021

Research article | 16 Sep 2021

Calibrated ensemble forecasts of the height of new snow using quantile regression forests and ensemble model output statistics

Guillaume Evin et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on npg-2021-18', Anonymous Referee #1, 09 Jun 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on npg-2021-18', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Jun 2021
  • RC3: 'Comment on npg-2021-18', Anonymous Referee #3, 13 Jul 2021
  • EC1: 'Comment on npg-2021-18', Olivier Talagrand, 16 Jul 2021
    • AC4: 'Reply on EC1', Guillaume Evin, 22 Jul 2021
  • EC2: 'Comment on npg-2021-18', Olivier Talagrand, 26 Jul 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Guillaume Evin on behalf of the Authors (29 Jul 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (02 Aug 2021) by Olivier Talagrand
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (02 Aug 2021)
RR by Ken Mylne (03 Aug 2021)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (09 Aug 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (12 Aug 2021) by Olivier Talagrand
AR by Guillaume Evin on behalf of the Authors (19 Aug 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (23 Aug 2021) by Olivier Talagrand
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Short summary
Forecasting the height of new snow is essential for avalanche hazard surveys, road and ski resort management, tourism attractiveness, etc. Météo-France operates a probabilistic forecasting system using a numerical weather prediction system and a snowpack model. It provides better forecasts than direct diagnostics but exhibits significant biases. Post-processing methods can be applied to provide automatic forecasting products from this system.