Articles | Volume 28, issue 3
Research article
29 Jul 2021
Research article |  | 29 Jul 2021

Improving the potential accuracy and usability of EURO-CORDEX estimates of future rainfall climate using frequentist model averaging

Stephen Jewson, Giuliana Barbato, Paola Mercogliano, Jaroslav Mysiak, and Maximiliano Sassi


Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on npg-2021-12', Anonymous Referee #1, 13 Apr 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Stephen Jewson, 14 Apr 2021
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC1', Stephen Jewson, 26 May 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on npg-2021-12', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Apr 2021
  • CC1: 'Comment on npg-2021-12', Rasmus Benestad, 04 May 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Stephen Jewson on behalf of the Authors (26 May 2021)  Author's response    Author's tracked changes    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (18 Jun 2021) by Valerio Lucarini
Short summary
Climate model simulations are uncertain. In some cases this makes it difficult to know how to use them. Significance testing is often used to deal with this issue but has various shortcomings. We describe two alternative ways to manage uncertainty in climate model simulations that avoid these shortcomings. We test them on simulations of future rainfall over Europe and show they produce more accurate projections than either using unadjusted climate model output or statistical testing.