Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
NPG
Articles | Volume 33, issue 1
Articles | Volume 33, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-103-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
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https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-33-103-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 33, issue 1
Research article
 | 
04 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 04 Mar 2026

Inferring the role of Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation phase on tropical-extratropical teleconnection dependencies

Mark A. Collier, Dylan Harries, and Terence J. O'Kane

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Cited articles

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Bi, D., Wang, G., Cai, W., Santoso, A., Sullivan, A., Ng, B., and Jia, F.: Configuration and spin-up of ACCESS-CM2, the new generation Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator Coupled Model, J. South. Hemisph. Earth Syst. Sci., 70, 225–251, https://doi.org/10.1071/ES19040, 2020. a, b, c, d
Bjerknes, J.: Atmospheric teleconnections from the equatorial Pacific, Monthly Weather Review, 97, 163–172, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1969)097<0163:ATFTEP>2.3.CO;2, 1969. a
Brooks, S., Giudici, P., and Philippe, A.: Nonparametric Convergence Assessment for MCMC Model Selection, Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics, 12, 1–22, https://doi.org/10.1198/1061860031347, 2003. a
Chen, X. and Wallace, J. M.: ENSO-like variability: 1900–2013, Journal of Climate, 28, 9623–9641, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0322.1, 2015. a
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Here we apply Bayesian methods to reconstructed and simulated climate model data over past decades to determine the role of long timescale phase dependencies, and extratropical teleconnections, on the major drivers of tropical climate variability.
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