Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
NPG
Articles | Volume 31, issue 1
Articles | Volume 31, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-45-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-45-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 31, issue 1
Research article
 | 
19 Jan 2024
Research article |  | 19 Jan 2024

Sensitivity of the polar boundary layer to transient phenomena

Amandine Kaiser, Nikki Vercauteren, and Sebastian Krumscheid

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Short summary
Current numerical weather prediction models encounter challenges in accurately representing regimes in the stably stratified atmospheric boundary layer (SBL) and the transitions between them. Stochastic modeling approaches are a promising framework to analyze when transient small-scale phenomena can trigger regime transitions. Therefore, we conducted a sensitivity analysis of the SBL to transient phenomena by augmenting a surface energy balance model with meaningful randomizations.
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