Articles | Volume 31, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-287-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-287-2024
Research article
 | 
01 Jul 2024
Research article |  | 01 Jul 2024

Improving ensemble data assimilation through Probit-space Ensemble Size Expansion for Gaussian Copulas (PESE-GC)

Man-Yau Chan

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2699', Ian Grooms, 02 Jan 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2699', Anonymous Referee #2, 27 Jan 2024
  • EC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-2699', Olivier Talagrand, 05 Feb 2024
  • AC1: 'Responses to Reviewers and Editor', Man-Yau Chan, 24 Mar 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Man-Yau Chan on behalf of the Authors (24 Mar 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (26 Mar 2024) by Olivier Talagrand
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Mar 2024) by Olivier Talagrand
RR by Lili Lei (08 Apr 2024)
RR by Ian Grooms (08 Apr 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (10 Apr 2024) by Olivier Talagrand
AR by Man-Yau Chan on behalf of the Authors (28 Apr 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (30 Apr 2024) by Olivier Talagrand
AR by Man-Yau Chan on behalf of the Authors (02 May 2024)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
Forecasts have uncertainties. It is thus essential to reduce these uncertainties. Such reduction requires uncertainty quantification, which often means running costly models multiple times. The cost limits the number of model runs and thus the quantification’s accuracy. This study proposes a technique that utilizes users’ knowledge of forecast uncertainties to improve uncertainty quantification. Tests show that this technique improves uncertainty reduction.