Articles | Volume 30, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-101-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-30-101-2023
Research article
 | 
05 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 05 Apr 2023

On parameter bias in earthquake sequence models using data assimilation

Arundhuti Banerjee, Ylona van Dinther, and Femke C. Vossepoel

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Cited articles

Auligné, T., McNally, A., and Dee, D.: Adaptive bias correction for satellite data in a numerical weather prediction system, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 631–642, 2007. a
Barbot, S., Lapusta, N., and Avouac, J.-P.: Under the hood of the earthquake machine: Toward predictive modeling of the seismic cycle, Science, 336, 707–710, 2012. a, b
Bertino, L., Evensen, G., and Wackernagel, H.: Sequential data assimilation techniques in oceanography, Int. Stat. Rev., 71, 223–241, 2003. a
Burridge, R. and Knopoff, L.: Model and theoretical seismicity, B. Seismol. Soc. Am., 57, 341–371, 1967. a
Cartwright, J. H., Hernández-García, E., and Piro, O.: Burridge–Knopoff models as elastic excitable media, Phys. Rev. Lett., 79, 527–530, 1997. a
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Short summary
The feasibility of physics-based forecasting of earthquakes depends on how well models can be calibrated to represent earthquake scenarios given uncertainties in both models and data. Our study investigates whether data assimilation can estimate current and future fault states in the presence of a bias in the friction parameter.