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Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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NPG | Articles | Volume 27, issue 1
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 27, 121–131, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-121-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue: Advances in post-processing and blending of deterministic...

Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 27, 121–131, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-121-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 27 Feb 2020

Research article | 27 Feb 2020

Seasonal statistical–dynamical prediction of the North Atlantic Oscillation by probabilistic post-processing and its evaluation

André Düsterhus

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Short summary
Seasonal prediction of the of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has been improved in recent years by improving dynamical models and ensemble predictions. One step therein was the so-called sub-sampling, which combines statistical and dynamical predictions. This study generalises this approach and makes it much more accessible. Furthermore, it presents a new verification approach for such predictions.
Seasonal prediction of the of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has been improved in recent...
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