Review article: Hilbert problems for the climate sciences in the 21st century – 20 years later

Ghil, Michael

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-429-2020

Articles | Volume 27, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-429-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Centennial issue on nonlinear geophysics: accomplishments...

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-429-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 27, issue 3

Review article

| Highlight paper

|

17 Sep 2020

Review article | Highlight paper |

| 17 Sep 2020

Review article: Hilbert problems for the climate sciences in the 21st century – 20 years later

Michael Ghil

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Final revised paper (published on 17 Sep 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 11 May 2020)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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RC1: 'an interesting and enriching career overview and perspective', Anonymous Referee #1, 09 Jun 2020
- AC1: 'Posted anonymous comment #1', Michael Ghil, 09 Jun 2020
  - RC2: 'of course', Anonymous Referee #1, 09 Jun 2020
RC3: 'Review of "Hilbert problems for the geosciences in the 21st century – 20 years later"', Anonymous Referee #2, 20 Jun 2020
- AC2: 'Posted anonymous comment #3 (npg-2020-13-RC3)', Michael Ghil, 24 Jun 2020
SC1: 'Comment to M. Ghil's paper', Valerio Lucarini, 01 Jul 2020
- AC3: 'Short Comment SC1 by Valerio Lucarini', Michael Ghil, 01 Jul 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Michael Ghil on behalf of the Authors (18 Jul 2020) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Publish as is (30 Jul 2020) by Stéphane Vannitsem

AR by Michael Ghil on behalf of the Authors (06 Aug 2020) Author's response Manuscript

Short summary

The scientific questions posed by the climate sciences are central to socioeconomic concerns today. This paper revisits several crucial questions, starting with What can we predict beyond 1 week, for how long, and by what methods?, and ending with Can we achieve enlightened climate control of our planet by the end of the century? We review the progress in dealing with the nonlinearity and stochasticity of the Earth system and emphasize major strides in coupled climate–economy modeling.