Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
NPG
Articles | Volume 27, issue 2
Articles | Volume 27, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-239-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-239-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 27, issue 2
Research article
 | 
23 Apr 2020
Research article |  | 23 Apr 2020

Vertical profiles of wind gust statistics from a regional reanalysis using multivariate extreme value theory

Julian Steinheuer and Petra Friederichs

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Latest update: 29 Oct 2025
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Short summary
Many applications require wind gust estimates at very different atmospheric altitudes, such as in the wind energy sector. However, numerical weather prediction models usually only derive estimates for gusts at 10 m above the land surface. We present a statistical model that gives the hourly peak wind speed. The model is trained based on a weather reanalysis and observations from the Hamburg Weather Mast. Reliable predictions are derived at up to 250 m, even at unobserved intermediate levels.
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