Articles | Volume 27, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-239-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-27-239-2020
Research article
 | 
23 Apr 2020
Research article |  | 23 Apr 2020

Vertical profiles of wind gust statistics from a regional reanalysis using multivariate extreme value theory

Julian Steinheuer and Petra Friederichs

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Latest update: 29 Feb 2024
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Short summary
Many applications require wind gust estimates at very different atmospheric altitudes, such as in the wind energy sector. However, numerical weather prediction models usually only derive estimates for gusts at 10 m above the land surface. We present a statistical model that gives the hourly peak wind speed. The model is trained based on a weather reanalysis and observations from the Hamburg Weather Mast. Reliable predictions are derived at up to 250 m, even at unobserved intermediate levels.