How does the quality of a prediction depend on the magnitude of the events under study?

Hallerberg, S.; Kantz, H.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-321-2008

Articles | Volume 15, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-321-2008

© Author(s) 2008. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.

Special issue:

Predictability in Earth Sciences

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-321-2008

© Author(s) 2008. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.

Articles | Volume 15, issue 2

16 Apr 2008

| 16 Apr 2008

How does the quality of a prediction depend on the magnitude of the events under study?

S. Hallerberg and H. Kantz

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Total article views: 1,951 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
1,079	718	154	1,951	170	154

HTML: 1,079
PDF: 718
XML: 154
Total: 1,951
BibTeX: 170
EndNote: 154

Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013)

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May 2013	3	8	1	12
Jun 2013	3	7	0	10
Jul 2013	1	13	0	14
Aug 2013	9	4	0	13
Sep 2013	5	0	5
Oct 2013	4	11	0	15
Nov 2013	4	7	1	12
Dec 2013	2	5	1	8
Jan 2014	5	10	2	17
Feb 2014	5	14	2	21
Mar 2014	11	7	2	20
Apr 2014	3	6	1	10
May 2014	5	8	0	13
Jun 2014	2	6	2	10
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Nov 2014	4	9	1	14
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Jan 2015	10	0	10
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Nov 2019	4	5	0	9
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Feb 2020	5	7	0	12
Mar 2020	6	6	1	13
Apr 2020	5	6	0	11
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Oct 2024	9	2	0	11
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Feb 2025	15	3	0	18
Mar 2025	10	3	1	14
Apr 2025	4	7	1	12
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Mar 2013	1	6	0	7
Apr 2013	2	7	0	9
May 2013	3	8	1	12
Jun 2013	3	7	0	10
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Aug 2013	9	4	0	13
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Oct 2013	4	11	0	15
Nov 2013	4	7	1	12
Dec 2013	2	5	1	8
Jan 2014	5	10	2	17
Feb 2014	5	14	2	21
Mar 2014	11	7	2	20
Apr 2014	3	6	1	10
May 2014	5	8	0	13
Jun 2014	2	6	2	10
Jul 2014	4	12	0	16
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Nov 2014	4	9	1	14
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Nov 2017	2	12	0	14
Dec 2017	8	6	1	15
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Feb 2018	20	4	6	30
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May 2024	10	6	3	19
Jun 2024	43	4	3	50
Jul 2024	11	6	1	18
Aug 2024	43	1	2	46
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Oct 2024	9	2	0	11
Nov 2024	8	1	2	11
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Jan 2025	4	5	0	9
Feb 2025	15	3	0	18
Mar 2025	10	3	1	14
Apr 2025	4	7	1	12
May 2025	16	3	1	20
Jun 2025	24	4	0	28

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Latest update: 26 Jun 2025

How does the quality of a prediction depend on the magnitude of the events under study?

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