How does the quality of a prediction depend on the magnitude of the events under study?

Hallerberg, S.; Kantz, H.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-321-2008

Articles | Volume 15, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-321-2008

© Author(s) 2008. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.

Special issue:

Predictability in Earth Sciences

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-15-321-2008

© Author(s) 2008. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.

Articles | Volume 15, issue 2

16 Apr 2008

| 16 Apr 2008

How does the quality of a prediction depend on the magnitude of the events under study?

S. Hallerberg and H. Kantz

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Total article views: 2,009 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
1,116	735	158	2,009	176	180

HTML: 1,116
PDF: 735
XML: 158
Total: 2,009
BibTeX: 176
EndNote: 180

Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013)

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May 2013	3	8	1	12
Jun 2013	3	7	0	10
Jul 2013	1	13	0	14
Aug 2013	9	4	0	13
Sep 2013	5	0	5
Oct 2013	4	11	0	15
Nov 2013	4	7	1	12
Dec 2013	2	5	1	8
Jan 2014	5	10	2	17
Feb 2014	5	14	2	21
Mar 2014	11	7	2	20
Apr 2014	3	6	1	10
May 2014	5	8	0	13
Jun 2014	2	6	2	10
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Aug 2014	6	11	1	18
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Nov 2014	4	9	1	14
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Jan 2015	10	0	10
Feb 2015	10	1	0	11
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Feb 2020	5	7	0	12
Mar 2020	6	6	1	13
Apr 2020	5	6	0	11
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May 2024	10	6	3	19
Jun 2024	43	4	3	50
Jul 2024	11	6	1	18
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Feb 2025	15	3	0	18
Mar 2025	10	3	1	14
Apr 2025	4	7	1	12
May 2025	16	3	1	20
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Jul 2025	9	5	0	14
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Mar 2013	1	6	0	7
Apr 2013	2	7	0	9
May 2013	3	8	1	12
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Oct 2013	4	11	0	15
Nov 2013	4	7	1	12
Dec 2013	2	5	1	8
Jan 2014	5	10	2	17
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Jun 2024	43	4	3	50
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Aug 2024	43	1	2	46
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May 2025	16	3	1	20
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Jul 2025	9	5	0	14
Aug 2025	11	4	3	18
Sep 2025	4	4	1	9

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Latest update: 17 Sep 2025

How does the quality of a prediction depend on the magnitude of the events under study?

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