Relative impact of model quality and ensemble deficiencies on the performance of ensemble based probabilistic forecasts evaluated through the Brier score

Atger, F.

doi:10.5194/npg-11-399-2004

Articles | Volume 11, issue 3

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-11-399-2004

© Author(s) 2004. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-11-399-2004

© Author(s) 2004. This work is licensed under
the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.

Articles | Volume 11, issue 3

14 Sep 2004

| 14 Sep 2004

Relative impact of model quality and ensemble deficiencies on the performance of ensemble based probabilistic forecasts evaluated through the Brier score

F. Atger

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Total article views: 1,839 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

HTML	PDF	XML	Total	BibTeX	EndNote
1,072	637	130	1,839	173	200

HTML: 1,072
PDF: 637
XML: 130
Total: 1,839
BibTeX: 173
EndNote: 200

Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
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Mar 2013	1	6	0	7
Apr 2013	1	7	0	8
May 2013	2	7	0	9
Jun 2013	3	7	0	10
Jul 2013	2	10	0	12
Aug 2013	9	4	0	13
Sep 2013	8	0	8
Oct 2013	4	9	0	13
Nov 2013	8	0	8
Dec 2013	1	5	0	6
Jan 2014	2	9	0	11
Feb 2014	3	8	1	12
Mar 2014	8	8	0	16
Apr 2014	1	9	0	10
May 2014	3	6	1	10
Jun 2014	2	7	2	11
Jul 2014	1	14	0	15
Aug 2014	6	9	1	16
Sep 2014	3	8	0	11
Oct 2014	2	7	0	9
Nov 2014	4	7	1	12
Dec 2014	1	9	1	11
Jan 2015	7	0	7
Feb 2015	6	0	6
Mar 2015	7	0	7
Apr 2015	10	2	0	12
May 2015	4	0	4
Jun 2015	23	1	0	24
Jul 2015	18	1	0	19
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Feb 2016	6	3	0	9
Mar 2016	8	0	8
Apr 2016	7	2	0	9
May 2016	4	2	0	6
Jun 2016	4	1	0	5
Jul 2016	4	2	1	7
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Oct 2016	3	0	3
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Jan 2017	2	0	2
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Mar 2017	8	0	8
Apr 2017	11	4	1	16
May 2017	10	1	0	11
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Jan 2018	19	11	10	40
Feb 2018	7	5	1	13
Mar 2018	9	5	3	17
Apr 2018	9	7	4	20
May 2018	7	7	3	17
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Aug 2018	13	7	4	24
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Oct 2018	14	7	6	27
Nov 2018	5	4	0	9
Dec 2018	11	2	2	15
Jan 2019	8	5	0	13
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Oct 2019	3	6	0	9
Nov 2019	4	1	0	5
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Apr 2020	4	0	4
May 2020	2	2	0	4
Jun 2020	12	6	0	18
Jul 2020	27	15	15	57
Aug 2020	5	6	3	14
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Apr 2021	5	3	0	8
May 2021	1	3	0	4
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Feb 2022	4	2	1	7
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Apr 2022	1	3	0	4
May 2022	4	1	5
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Jul 2022	3	0	3
Aug 2022	5	2	0	7
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Oct 2022	5	0	5
Nov 2022	1	7	0	8
Dec 2022	6	0	6
Jan 2023	3	5	0	8
Feb 2023	5	1	0	6
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Apr 2023	6	4	0	10
May 2023	3	3	0	6
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May 2024	7	6	2	15
Jun 2024	41	2	2	45
Jul 2024	9	5	1	15
Aug 2024	30	1	2	33
Sep 2024	6	2	1	9
Oct 2024	9	4	0	13
Nov 2024	6	1	0	7
Dec 2024	1	1	0	2
Jan 2025	9	2	0	11
Feb 2025	18	7	0	25
Mar 2025	14	3	0	17
Apr 2025	7	2	1	10
May 2025	11	3	1	15
Jun 2025	25	5	0	30
Jul 2025	10	5	0	15
Aug 2025	10	4	1	15
Sep 2025	12	7	1	20
Oct 2025	20	9	2	31
Nov 2025	25	6	2	33
Dec 2025	14	8	3	25
Jan 2026	28	7	4	39
Feb 2026	5	6	0	11

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 01 Feb 2013)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Feb 2013	6	9	6	21
Mar 2013	1	6	0	7
Apr 2013	1	7	0	8
May 2013	2	7	0	9
Jun 2013	3	7	0	10
Jul 2013	2	10	0	12
Aug 2013	9	4	0	13
Sep 2013	8	0	8
Oct 2013	4	9	0	13
Nov 2013	8	0	8
Dec 2013	1	5	0	6
Jan 2014	2	9	0	11
Feb 2014	3	8	1	12
Mar 2014	8	8	0	16
Apr 2014	1	9	0	10
May 2014	3	6	1	10
Jun 2014	2	7	2	11
Jul 2014	1	14	0	15
Aug 2014	6	9	1	16
Sep 2014	3	8	0	11
Oct 2014	2	7	0	9
Nov 2014	4	7	1	12
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Jan 2015	7	0	7
Feb 2015	6	0	6
Mar 2015	7	0	7
Apr 2015	10	2	0	12
May 2015	4	0	4
Jun 2015	23	1	0	24
Jul 2015	18	1	0	19
Aug 2015	5	6	0	11
Sep 2015	2	0	2
Oct 2015	13	2	0	15
Nov 2015	9	1	0	10
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Feb 2016	6	3	0	9
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May 2017	10	1	0	11
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Aug 2017	6	3	2	11
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Feb 2019	13	5	1	19
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Feb 2020	5	2	0	7
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Feb 2024	5	2	1	8
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Apr 2024	12	3	5	20
May 2024	7	6	2	15
Jun 2024	41	2	2	45
Jul 2024	9	5	1	15
Aug 2024	30	1	2	33
Sep 2024	6	2	1	9
Oct 2024	9	4	0	13
Nov 2024	6	1	0	7
Dec 2024	1	1	0	2
Jan 2025	9	2	0	11
Feb 2025	18	7	0	25
Mar 2025	14	3	0	17
Apr 2025	7	2	1	10
May 2025	11	3	1	15
Jun 2025	25	5	0	30
Jul 2025	10	5	0	15
Aug 2025	10	4	1	15
Sep 2025	12	7	1	20
Oct 2025	20	9	2	31
Nov 2025	25	6	2	33
Dec 2025	14	8	3	25
Jan 2026	28	7	4	39
Feb 2026	5	6	0	11

Latest update: 09 Feb 2026