Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics
NPG
Articles | Volume 31, issue 3
Articles | Volume 31, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-381-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-31-381-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 31, issue 3
Research article
 | 
20 Aug 2024
Research article |  | 20 Aug 2024

The role of time-varying external factors in the intensification of tropical cyclones

Samuel Watson and Courtney Quinn

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Short summary
The intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs) is explored through a conceptual model derived from geophysical principals. Focus is put on the behaviour of the model with parameters which change in time. The rates of change cause the model to either tip to an alternative stable state or recover the original state. This represents intensification, dissipation, or eyewall replacement cycles (ERCs). A case study which emulates the rapid intensification events of Hurricane Irma (2017) is explored.
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