Articles | Volume 14, issue 1
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 14, 5–15, 2007
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-14-5-2007
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 14, 5–15, 2007
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-14-5-2007

  19 Jan 2007

19 Jan 2007

An Ising model for earthquake dynamics

A. Jiménez1, K. F. Tiampo1, and A. M. Posadas2 A. Jiménez et al.
  • 1Department of Earth Sciences Biological and Geological Sciences, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada
  • 2Department of Applied Physics, University of Almería, Spain

Abstract. This paper focuses on extracting the information contained in seismic space-time patterns and their dynamics. The Greek catalog recorded from 1901 to 1999 is analyzed. An Ising Cellular Automata representation technique is developed to reconstruct the history of these patterns. We find that there is strong correlation in the region, and that small earthquakes are very important to the stress transfers. Finally, it is demonstrated that this approach is useful for seismic hazard assessment and intermediate-range earthquake forecasting.

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