NPG Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics NPG Nonlin. Processes Geophys. 1607-7946 Copernicus Publications Göttingen, Germany 10.5194/npg-14-5-2007 An Ising model for earthquake dynamics Jiménez A. 1 Tiampo K. F. 1 Posadas A. M. 2 Department of Earth Sciences Biological and Geological Sciences, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada Department of Applied Physics, University of Almería, Spain 19 01 2007 14 1 5 15 Copyright: © 2007 A. Jiménez et al. 2007 This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 Generic License. To view a copy of this licence, visit https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ This article is available from https://npg.copernicus.org/articles/14/5/2007/npg-14-5-2007.html The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://npg.copernicus.org/articles/14/5/2007/npg-14-5-2007.pdf

This paper focuses on extracting the information contained in seismic space-time patterns and their dynamics. The Greek catalog recorded from 1901 to 1999 is analyzed. An Ising Cellular Automata representation technique is developed to reconstruct the history of these patterns. We find that there is strong correlation in the region, and that small earthquakes are very important to the stress transfers. Finally, it is demonstrated that this approach is useful for seismic hazard assessment and intermediate-range earthquake forecasting.

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