Articles | Volume 13, issue 3
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 13, 255–263, 2006
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-13-255-2006

Special issue: Nonlinear dynamics of Earth-Oceans-Space (EOS2005)

Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 13, 255–263, 2006
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-13-255-2006

  03 Jul 2006

03 Jul 2006

An attempt to find precursors in the ULF geomagnetic data by means of flicker noise spectroscopy

M. Hayakawa1 and S. F. Timashev2 M. Hayakawa and S. F. Timashev
  • 1Department of Electronic Engineering, The University of Electro-Communications, Chofu Tokyo 182-8585, Japan
  • 2Karpov Institute of Physical Chemistry, Moscow 103064, Russia

Abstract. The flicker noise spectroscopy which is a new phenomenological method for the retrieval of information contained in chaotic time signals, is based on the analysis of recognizable irregularities (pulse, jumps, and discontinuities of derivatives of various order). This method is applied to the ULF (ultra-low-frequency) data observed at Guam in 1992–1994, in order to study the temporal nonlinear behavior of the lithospheric activity prior to the large 1993 Guam earthquake (8 August 1993). We have found that the lithosphere must have exhibited the step-like discontinuous behaviors in the lithosphere 101, 78, 54, 31 and 8 days before the main shock. This kind of nonlinear temporal behavior can be tracked by means of our flicker noise spectroscopy.