Journal cover Journal topic
Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic

Journal metrics

Journal metrics

  • IF value: 1.558 IF 1.558
  • IF 5-year value: 1.475 IF 5-year
    1.475
  • CiteScore value: 2.8 CiteScore
    2.8
  • SNIP value: 0.921 SNIP 0.921
  • IPP value: 1.56 IPP 1.56
  • SJR value: 0.571 SJR 0.571
  • Scimago H <br class='hide-on-tablet hide-on-mobile'>index value: 55 Scimago H
    index 55
  • h5-index value: 22 h5-index 22
Volume 16, issue 1
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 16, 65–76, 2009
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-16-65-2009
© Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Nonlin. Processes Geophys., 16, 65–76, 2009
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-16-65-2009
© Author(s) 2009. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

  06 Feb 2009

06 Feb 2009

Multi-scale analysis of teleconnection indices: climate noise and nonlinear trend analysis

C. Franzke C. Franzke
  • British Antarctic Survey, Natural Environment Research Council, Cambridge, UK

Abstract. The multi-scale nature and climate noise properties of teleconnection indices are examined by using the Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) procedure. The EMD procedure allows for the analysis of non-stationary time series to extract physically meaningful intrinsic mode functions (IMF) and nonlinear trends. The climatologically relevant monthly mean teleconnection indices of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the North Pacific index (NP) and the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) are analyzed.

The significance of IMFs and trends are tested against the null hypothesis of climate noise. The analysis of surrogate monthly mean time series from a red noise process shows that the EMD procedure is effectively a dyadic filter bank and the IMFs (except the first IMF) are nearly Gaussian distributed. The distribution of the variance contained in IMFs of an ensemble of AR(1) simulations is nearly χ2 distributed. To test the statistical significance of the IMFs of the teleconnection indices and their nonlinear trends we utilize an ensemble of corresponding monthly averaged AR(1) processes, which we refer to as climate noise. Our results indicate that most of the interannual and decadal variability of the analysed teleconnection indices cannot be distinguished from climate noise. The NP and SAM indices have significant nonlinear trends, while the NAO has no significant trend when tested against a climate noise hypothesis.

Publications Copernicus
Download
Citation