Articles | Volume 12, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-12-799-2005
© Author(s) 2005. This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 License.
Special issue:
11 Aug 2005
Prediction of magnetic storm events using the Dst index
Abstract. This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events based on the time series of the Dst index over the period 1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the measure representation of the Dst time series. This measure is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor. Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the method in outside-sample forecasts.
