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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">NPG</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">NPG</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Nonlin. Processes Geophys.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1607-7946</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/npg-11-351-2004</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>State dependent predictability: impact of uncertainty dynamics, uncertainty structure and model inadequacies</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Khade</surname>
<given-names>V. M.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Hansen</surname>
<given-names>J. A.</given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Dept. of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139, USA</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>02</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2004</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>11</volume>
<issue>3</issue>
<fpage>351</fpage>
<lpage>362</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2004 V. M. Khade</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2004</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.5 Generic License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
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<self-uri xlink:href="https://npg.copernicus.org/articles/11/351/2004/npg-11-351-2004.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://npg.copernicus.org/articles/11/351/2004/npg-11-351-2004.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>The implications of state dependent,  finite time  error  growth
has  been studied using singular values in  a chaotic 2-dimensional map.
Earlier studies have demonstrated the superiority  of the
singular   values   over   the   Lyapunov   number   in   representing
error growth over finite  time scales, since they take state dependency into account.
In this work, linearized error growth as given by singular values under operational
constraints like non-isotropic initial uncertainty and model error is considered.
It is demonstrated that the relevant singular values in the case of non-isotropic
initial uncertainty are quite different from the isotropic case. The effect of
model inadequacy on error growth is delineated.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="12"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
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